Elements of Forecasting

Written by a leading expert on forecasting, this concise, modern survey of business and economic forecasting methods is intentionally selective and focuses only on the core techniques with the widest applicability. Assuming readers have a limited background in statistics, the book is extremely applications oriented and illustrates all methods with detailed real-world applications - many of them international in flavor - that reflect typical forecasting situations in today's global...
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Written by a leading expert on forecasting, this concise, modern survey of business and economic forecasting methods is intentionally selective and focuses only on the core techniques with the widest applicability. Assuming readers have a limited background in statistics, the book is extremely applications oriented and illustrates all methods with detailed real-world applications - many of them international in flavor - that reflect typical forecasting situations in today's global marketplace. Offering a practical blend of traditional and contemporary topics, Elements of Forecasting, 3e covers trend, seasonality and cycles, as well as more modern topics such as model selection, volatility models, unit roots and stochastic trends, vector autoregressions and cointegration. It devotes full chapters to volatility, statistical graphics, and evaluating and combining forecasts.